Identifying and analyzing emerging trends in campaigns and elections.

The House Challengers

In House on April 5, 2013 at 1:37 pm

As the first quarter of the off-year draws to a close, already 33 individuals have announced their congressional candidacies for 2014 — or, are near certain to do so — in 27 different districts. Four of the campaigns are intra-party challenges.

The candidates are:

Arizona CD-2 Rep. Ron Barber-D Toss-Up
    Martha McSally-R 2012 nominee (49.6%) – Probable
  CD-9 Rep. Kyrsten Sinema-D Lean D
    Vernon Parker-R Former Paradise Valley Mayor – 2012 nominee (44.6%)
    Wendy Rogers-R Retired USAF officer – frequent political candidate
    Mark Victor-R Attorney – former Libertarian statewide candidate
California CD-7 Rep. Ami Bera-D Lean D
    Elizabeth Emken-R Former 2012 US Senate nominee
  CD-17 Rep. Mike Honda-D Safe D
    Ro Khanna-D Former Obama Commerce Dept. official
  CD-26 Rep. Julia Brownley-D Lean D
    Tony Strickland-R Former state Senator; 2012 nominee (47.3%)
  CD-31 Rep. Gary Miller-R Toss-Up
    Pete Aguilar-D Redlands Mayor; former congressional candidate
  CD-35 Rep. Gloria Negrete McLeod-D Safe D
    Joe Baca-D Former Congressman; lost in 2012 (44.1%)
  CD-36 Rep. Raul Ruiz-D Lean D
    Brian Nestande-R State Assemblyman
  CD-52 Rep. Scott Peters-D Toss-up
    Carl DeMaio-R Former San Diego City Councilman – former Mayoral candidate – Probable candidate
Colorado CO-6 Rep. Mike Coffman-R Toss-up
    Andrew Romanoff-D Former Speaker of the House – former Senatorial candidate
Connecticut CT-5 Rep. Elizabeth Esty-D Lean D
    Mark Greenberg-R Businessman – former congressional candidate
Florida FL-2 Rep. Steve Southerland-R Lean R
    Gwen Graham-D Leon County education official – daughter of former Governor and Senator Bob Graham-D
  FL-26 Rep. Joe Garcia-D Toss-Up
    Joe Martinez-R Ex-Miami-Dade Commission chairman
    Ed MacDougall-R Mayor, City of Cutler Bay
Georgia GA-12 Rep. John Barrow-D Lean D
    John Stone-R Congressional aide; ’08 nominee (34%)
Illinois IL-17 Rep. Cheri Bustos-D Lean D
    Bobby Schilling-R Former Congressman; lost in 2012 (46.7%) – possible candidate
Louisiana LA-2 Rep. Cedric Richmond-D Safe D
    Gary Landrieu-D Businessman – frequent candidate
Minnesota MN-2 Rep. John Kline-R Lean R
    Sona Mehring-D Non-profit organization founder and executive
    Mike Obermuller-D Former state Representative – 2012 nominee (45.8%)
New Hampshire NH-2 Rep. Annie Kuster-D Likely D
    Bill O’Brien-R Former Speaker of the NH House
New York NY-11 Rep. Michael Grimm-R Lean R
    Domenic Recchia-D New York City Councilman
  NY-19 Rep. Chris Gibson-R Lean R
    Sean Eldridge-D Venture capitalist
North Carolina NC-7 Rep. Mike McIntyre-D Toss-Up
    David Rouzer-R Former state Senator; 2012 nominee (49.9%)
    Jonathan Barfield-R New Hanover County Commissioner
  NC-10 Rep. Patrick McHenry-R Likely R
    Terry Bellamy-D Mayor, City of Asheville
Ohio OH-7 Rep. Bob Gibbs-R Lean R
    John Boccieri-D Former Congressman; lost in 2010 (41.3%) – possible candidate
Pennsylvania PA-8 Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick-R Lean R
    Kevin Strouse-D Former US Army Ranger – Iraq & Afghanistan War veteran
Tennessee TN-4 Rep. Scott DesJarlais-R Likely R
    Jim Tracy-R State Senator – former congressional candidate
    Joe Carr-R State Representative
Utah UT-4 Rep. Jim Matheson-D Toss-Up
    Mia Love-R Mayor, City of Saratoga Springs; 2012 nominee (48.5%)
Wisconsin WI-1 Rep. Paul Ryan-R Likely R
    Rob Zerban-D Kenosha County Commissioner – 2012 nominee (43.4%)
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